The North London derby will kick off midweek and comes at a pivotal time in the season. Arsenal drew their last Premier League match versus Brighton, but Liverpool failed to increase their gap on the Gunners having drawn at home to United. Arsenal are 6 points off Liverpool, and after hosting Tottenham they still have tough games against both Manchester clubs, Chelsea, and against the leaders themselves. Time is ticking for Mikel Arteta, and if they can take all three points in the North London derby, they can still hold onto their title hopes.
Spurs beat Liverpool in their recent EFL game, albeit after soaking up the pressure and scoring a controversial late goal. Tottenham’s aspirations for the league are less impressive, as they are on 24 points, 11 behind Newcastle in 5th, and their only hope to get European football next year is through winning either the FA Cup or the Europa League. But the North London derby is never just a matter of 3 points, this fierce rivalry has brought us many exciting games in recent years, and the game on Wednesday is no exception.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Match Details
January 15, Wednesday 20:00 @ Emirates Stadium
Right now, Arsenal have 40 points, a goal difference of +21, and sit second in the league. They are 2 wins off drawing level with Liverpool, but Liverpool have a game in hand. Plus, Liverpool have the easier games left in the season, facing Manchester City, Tottenham, and Chelsea, in addition to the May 10th game where Liverpool will host the Gunners.
Tottenham are 12th in the league, with 24 points and a goal difference of +12. They cannot realistically get into the top 5 to secure a place in next year’s Europa League, but Ange Postecoglou will want to win this game, and give the supporters a good boost.
Arsenal have yet to lose a home game so far this season, but Tottenham have great force in attack, and this game has great potential for goals. Spurs is worse off in terms of injuries, with primary goalkeeper Vicario still out, as well as Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, and Rodrigo Bentancur picking up a heavy injury in the game against Liverpool last weekend. Arsenal recently got back talisman Martin Odegaard from injury, but they were dealt a serious blow when Bukayo Saka pulled his hamstring against Crystal Palace at the end of 2024.
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Having beat Liverpool in the EFL, Tottenham ended their 4 game winless run, but now the team will need to bounce back in the league. They have only won 2 of their last 10 Premier League games, and despite scoring 14 goals in their last 6 games. Arsenal are on an unbeaten run of 10 games in the league, but dropped points in 4 of those games, something they cannot afford if they want to seriously challenge Liverpool. They drew games against Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City, but beat Tottenham earlier in the year.
Who Will Win
Arsenal beat Tottenham at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and the odds on Tottenham to return the favor are extremely long. Arsenal are the heavy favorites to win, but the loss of Saka has shown in their recent games. They have a stronger squad depth, but there is something inspirational about this Tottenham lineup. They may be missing many defensive players, but the way Archie Gray and Radu Dragusin linked up to hold back Tottenham, and goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky’s heroics give us reason to believe they are highly underestimated at odds of 6/1.
Arsenal Moneyline @ 2/5
Draw @ 17/4
Tottenham @ 6/1
To bet on Tottenham to win is a pretty bold move, and at those odds we don’t really need to combine it with any other picks. But it is just a little too risky, even if Arsenal have the harder weekend game against Man United (whereas Spurs play Tamworth). Instead, our experts are leaning toward a Double Chance on Tottenham or Draw. Not risking it all on Spurs, we will also back the draw between these two.
Double Chance Tottenham or Draw @ 19/10
Great Goals Potential
Saka is not available, which would suggest Arsenal may lack the creativity in attack to score loads of goals, but Tottenham don’t have their primary choice defenders either. Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, as well as fullbacks Destiny Udogie and Ben Davies are all out injured. And Rodrigo Bentancur was added to that list during the weekend. Mikel Arteta will certainly want to slow the pace of the game, they are facing Aston Villa 3 days later and need to keep the pressure on Liverpool.
To be fair to Tottenham, this game is more about not losing face to their local rivals than claiming 3 points. If any team are going to be more reckless, we think it will be Tottenham. Our handicappers reckon the first half will be a little slow. Either of the teams could open the scoring, but we think the half will end under the 2.5 goal line.
In games between high profile teams like this, the second half usually has more goal action. Especially given the attacking substitutes both teams have. And that would also lead us to betting on BTTS, which comes well priced for this match.
Under 2.5 HT Goals @ 1/5
BTTS @ 13/25
Over 3.5 FT Goals @ 26/25
Betting on Corners
We all know about Arsenal and corners, and Postecoglou will be extra careful with man marking to ensure Arsenal don’t convert from any set pieces. But if we switch over to look at Tottenham the corners betting markets are extremely generous. The closest betting line to even money is 3.5, which is very small. Tottenham got 9 corners each in their games against Newcastle and Wolves, and 7 in their loss to Forest. The oddsmakers have focused heavily on Arsenal’s corners, and we think Tottenham Over 3.5 corners comes at exceptional betting value.
Tottenham Over 3.5 Corners @ 17/20
BettingTools Arsenal vs Tottenham Bet Builder
We have listed out lots of bets, and this week we have gone quite ambitious in our Premier League bet builder by backing the underdog. But Arsenal have a game against United during the weekend, and only have 3 days between hosting Tottenham and playing Aston Villa, whereas Tottenham will have 4 days to recover before facing Everton – who are just above the relegation zone.
To cover the most ground, we have divided our picks into two separate bet builder accas. You can always mix up our picks and experiment with our accumulator calculator to find a combination that better suits your needs. If you do find one, be sure to post it on our Twitter handle.
