Written by: Oscar Dobbins
Updated: June 18, 2025

It’s time for Game 6 of the NBA Finals 2025… time flies when you’re winning bets.

With a lot on the line, and injuries starting to appear, one team that is looking dominant and ready to take home the trophy in Game 6. You’ll notice Haliburton doesn’t feature in this game’s Parlay due to his injury. It’s still unclear whether he’ll be back to full health, or even play, in this decisive game.

This time round we’ve out a focus on the Thunder’s players to try and capitalise on their dominance coming off a strong Game 5 performance. Let’s take a look at the details and breakdown each leg of the Parlay.

Picking the Winner

The Thunder are the 6.5 point favorites to win, which is slightly narrower than Game 5 where they were priced 9 point ahead of the Pacers. With form and momentum on their side, the moneyline odds on the Thunder are a steal.

OKC Thunder on the verge of their first Championship

OKC have shown they are a step above the Pacers in numerous factors across the Finals. With Shai on the hunt for Finals MVP, and Williams in full form it would be hard for Pacers to outclass the Thunder under normal circumstances, however, with an injured Haliburton the Pacers will need a miracle to take the series to a Game 7.

OKC Thunder Moneyline @ -255

Player Props Picks

This is it, make or break, the coaches, fans and players all know it. Players that step up in these moments will earn their place in history. The Pacers have never won a Championship, and this may be the closest they get for a long time.

The same can be said for the Thunder, who have yet to win an NBA Championship after moving to Oklahoma in 2008, but while based in Seattle, they reached the finals three times and won the 1979 Championship. These two should give it everything they’ve got for this one.

And knowing this will be a big game for big game players, we scoured the NBA player props for high betting value, and found our top picks.

Jalen Williams – Consistently Providing Those Assists

Jalen Williams put together an incredible Game 5 performance with 40 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists. It feels like Williams has truly realised his potential and will be filled with confidence heading into the first decider of the Finals series.

Jalen Williams put up a dominant 40 points in Game 5.

As one of the starting 5, Jalen has averaged 4.2 APG in the Finals and was putting up much better averages in previous Playoff series. It’s likely Williams will be in the starting 5 on Friday night and will be easy for him to put up at least 4 assists in 48 minutes.

Jalen Williams to Record 4+ Assists @ -295

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Finals MVP On the Line

SGA continues to show his dominance, putting up big numbers and baiting fouls. Shai is now the only player in NBA history to record 30+ points and 5+ assists in 12 games in a single post-season. This consistent point scoring ability has put him amongst elite company with LeBron and Michael Jordan only recording 11 games with 30 and 5 (in a single playoff run).

SGA could be the 4th player in NBA history to win the MVP and FMVP award in the same season.

This could be Shai’s last opportunity to prove he deserves Finals MVP and will likely put up some big numbers to ensure he becomes the fourth player in NBA history to receive the MVP and FMVP award in the same season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Score 25+ Points @ -900

Chet Holmgren – Rebound King of the Finals

Once again, Chet Holmgren is back in our Parlay with another 6+ rebounds.

Chet Holmgren has proved to be a weapon on both ends of the court.

Yes it’s only -1000 but this leg of the Parlay is a “guaranteed” one. In the Finals series alone, Holmgren has averaged 9.6 RPG and 12 RBP across his last 3 games. Even if you don’t go with our Parlay, make sure you add this to yours.

Chet Holmgren to Record 6+ Rebounds @ -1000

Pascal Siakam – Now or Never for the Pacers

The Final leg of our Parlay is an interesting one, and is statistically the least likely to hit. However, with Tyrese Haliburton injured (or possibly out) in Game 6 there is only one man Indiana can turn too to carry them to a Game 7 at home.

Could Pascal Siakam help the Pacers win their first Championship?

Pascal Siakam has more than proved his worth in both the regular and post-season. In his last 3 games, Siakam has averaged 23 points even with Tyrese Haliburton healthy and playing with full force. Now that Hali is out of the picture, we will likely see Siakam controlling the Pacers and put himself in advantageous positions to do so. With everything on the line, we may also see him play the full 48 minutes.

Pascal Siakam to Score 25+ Points @ +196

Betting Tools NBA Finals Game 6 Parlay Predictions

Last game’s betting prediction had a few longshot picks, but we didn’t miss by all that lot. For the upcoming game, our experts have cooked up the following parlay, with enough confident picks and a slightly riskier one to flavor up some good, long odds.

Betting Tools & Calculators
OKC Thunder Moneyline
OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers
J. Williams 4+ Assists
OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 25+ Points
OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers
C. Holmgren 6+ Rebounds
OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers
P. Siakam 25+ Points
OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers
Indiana Pacers logo

Just like for Game 4 and Game 5, we have picked FanDuel’s betting odds, and chosen betting picks with cash out functions. With the betting app downloaded and fully set up on your phone, you can access those cash out offers even faster. Thus saving precious seconds where time is literally money.

This pick feels like it has the makings of a winner, but feel free to experiment with picks of your own, or tweak the odds on your betting calculator either by dropping certain bets or adjusting the lines to the way you like them. You can always share your betting picks with us on X @BettingToolsus, and we can see who gets the closest to hitting those big wins.