For the first time since 2016, we have a Game 7 in the NBA Finals. The last time this happened, we saw LeBron James and Steph Curry go head to head in a thrilling game to win it all. If we can replicate even a fraction of that excitement we’ll have a great game on our hands.
The outcome of this match is hard to call, so we’ve gone with player props for each leg of the parlay to eliminate any exceptional circumstances that might ruin the Parlay.
You may also notice each leg of this Parlay features negative odds to try and maximise our chances of a hit. Let’s take a look at our 5 picks and breakdown why we chose each leg.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points
The spotlight is on SGA. As the Thunder’s primary point scorer, the burden of victory will rest on Shai’s shoulders. Alexander has put up exceptional numbers in both the Playoffs and Finals, through great free-throw efficiency and a serious ability to draw fouls.
It’s likely we’ll see SGA use these same tactics to get points in Game 7. This is it for Shai, his great opportunity to shine and an opportunity to become the first Canadian to win the NBA Finals MVP. A good tally of points should definitely see him through.
S. Gilgeous-Alexander to Score 20+ Points @ -4500
Pascal Siakam: Points
Siakam has continued to prove his worth in the Finals. Unfortunately in Game 6 he saw a slight drop in scoring effectiveness and only managed to get 16 points in 32 minutes.
When we look at his scoring average, it’s likely he’ll do slightly better in Game 7. Additionally, as the Eastern Conference Finals MVP he will be more than aware that his team is relying on him to have a high-scoring game.
P. Siakam to Score 20+ Points @ -140
Aaron Nesmith: Made Threes
Aaron Nesmith has been an exceptional role-player for the Pacers. Although he’s never the best player on the court, his impact and point participation shows he is an essential part of the core Indiana lineup.
Nesmith has averaged 2.6 3PG in the Finals series against OKC. Additionally, we have seen Nesmith average 5.5 3pt attempts in the Finals. If he can keep putting shots up in Game 7, he will have a good chance of getting at least 2 threes in the most important game of his career.
A. Nesmith to Record 2+ Threes @ -142
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds
Chet continues to be a consistent winner in our Parlays. As the biggest player on the Thunder, he is consistently getting lots of rebounds with his lowest amount (6) in Game 6.
It seems a no brainer at this point. If you’re putting a Parlay together for Game 7, this is an essential NBA player prop to include to maximise winnings. But to not get ahead of ourselves and jump in on the betting hype, we have set a lower line of just 6+ rebounds for this pick.
C. Holmgren to Record 6+ Rebounds @ -1400
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists
Haliburton has had a tricky Finals series after picking up a calf injury. Luckily, the Pacers have managed to rally and play their roles effectively to minimise the impact of Hali’s injury.
We weren’t entirely sure if he would be back to full health heading into Game 6, however, after getting 14 points and some incredible 3-point shooting it’s clear he’s back to full form.
This will put a target on his back and OKC will want to limit his ability to score as much as possible in Game 7. For this reason, we have focused on Haliburton getting assists, rather than points. Betting on injured NBA players is risky, but we think with assists Haliburton should have us covered.
T. Haliburton to Record 4+ Assists @ -1600
Betting Tools NBA Finals Game 7 Parlay Predictions
If we were to nitpick, the two slightly weaker links in the parlay would be Nesmith making 2+ threes and Siakam racking up 20+ points, but with momentum building up for this, potentially championship deciding game, we are expecting all the in-form performers to bring their A game. All the odds are negative, meaning these are favored bets with a strong chance of coming through, and the parlay odds are lengthy enough to yield a good return.
As with the previous games, our FanDuel NBA player props all have cash outs. While the picks have a strong chance of coming through, we recommend keeping your betting app open and at the ready to trigger the cash out if the price is right. For more analysis and future picks, be sure to hit us up on our X, @BettingToolsus.
